My reply to Cobra on Twitter: "We think differently that is for sure, because we understand the power of Satoshi's Vision, and the real Bitcoin. We are not here for shitcoins, ShamBitcoins, or scams and pump and dumps. We are here to change the world."
My reply to Cobra on Twitter: "We think differently that is for sure, because we understand the power of Satoshi's Vision, and the real Bitcoin. We are not here for shitcoins, ShamBitcoins, or scams and pump and dumps. We are here to change the world."
DITO rockets up 20%, drops 30%, then finishes flat... the Aristocrats! (Wednesday, Oct 7)
Happy Wednesday, Barkada --
The PSE closed down 28 points to 5911 ▼0.5%.
Good news! I have a couple of people who are potentially interested in sponsoring MB, so I'm excited to explore those opportunities. My goal has always been to simply be revenue neutral, and to keep MB free for everyone to enjoy. (inb4 "RAID Shadow Legends" ad) Shout-out to Christine for her suggestion to try and improve the bottom-line of MB by moving from Mailchimp to SendFox. It's something I'm going to look into, but I'm very careful about making changes. I'll have to investigate. Thanks also to Jack_ol_lantern for suggesting ways to leverage my domain to try a "roll your own" alternative, and to nikohd for suggesting I offer a bitcoin donation address. I've got lots to study this weekend! No complaints here, though. Exciting times in MB town.
[UPDATE] ABS-CBN [ABS 9.00 ▼14.93%] confirms distribution deal with Zoe TV’s rebranded “A2Z Channel”... this is just confirmation of the fire that caused the ceiling-play smoke a couple of days ago that saw the ABS stock price rise 50% intraday. According to this press release, ABS-CBN and Zoe Broadcasting Network Inc have made a deal to show “some entertainment shows and movies of ABS-CBN” on A2Z Channel 11, a newly re-branded Zoe Broadcasting Network channel that will broadcast on analog TV in Metro Manila and surrounding provinces. ABS content will start appearing on this new A2Z channel starting October 10.
MB:No details yet on what content, exactly, will be shown, but the wording of the press release is interesting. It mentions “entertainment and movies” specifically, but leaves out politically-adjacent topics like news or analysis/interview shows. The Inquirer is reporting a rumor that “It’s Showtime” and “ASAP Natin ‘To” will be part of the content to make its way to A2Z Channel 11, but that has not been confirmed. Investors will want to watch this closely to see how well ABS is able to monetize this agreement with advertising, and to see how the government reacts as more ABS content moves into this pipeline.
[UPDATE] Wild DITO CME [DITO 6.81 unch], NOW Communications [NOW 4.98 ▲13.44%], and Chelsea Logistics [C 5.90 ▼4.07%] price action in yesterday’s session... the NOW and DITO pump has been massive and constant. But this last week was especially spicy, with yesterday’s session just an absolute gong-show that caused brokerage meltdowns. DITO opened the day at P7/share, up 3% on the previous day’s close, and steadily gained to a high-water mark of P8.02/share (+18%) at around 11:45am. At 11:45am, DITO had a marketcap of P22.5bn. In the next 27 minutes, DITO would lose P7.4bn in marketcap as the price imploded to P5.38/share, swinging from an 18% gain on the day to a 21% loss. Then, over the next 30 minutes, completely erasing that loss and ending the day right where it started, at P6.81/share. 2.09 billion shares changed hands on the PSE yesterday; DITO accounted for 16% of the day’s total volume (355 million shares). The three companies combined accounted for over 28% of all shares traded.
MB:MB: The amount of market uncertainty here is incredible. Traders love it, investors hate it. DITO doesn’t even own DITO Telecommunity, or anything else of material value for that matter, NOW just diluted shareholders with a bearish low-price sweetheart deal, and Chelsea is a company of tugboats and passenger ferries that happens to own a sliver of Dennis Uy’s enigmatic telecom. NOW has a long history of playing the “press release pump and dump” game, and I can only imagine that it’s happy just to be along for the ride, fluffing feathers before a potential IPO by way of introduction. Everyone in the Philippines can sense that connectivity is a bull market, whether that be mobile data (C, GLO, TEL.... then NOW) or broadband (GLO, TEL, CNVRG)...so money just keeps pouring into telco-related stocks. And it makes sense, too, given how few options there are right now on the PSE for anything that looks both pandemic-resilient and secularly profitable. But some of these things are not like the others. Some of these things will crush it, and some will not. Be careful trading telcos that you remember whether you’re being a trader (short term) or an investor (long term). Don’t start out as a trader, forget to place stops, then wind up as an investor with an investment that’s underwater. BE CAREFUL. EDIT: Also, COL Financial, get your act together. You blew AREIT and MM, and you blew yesterday's Telecommotion. At this point, traders/investors should not make plans in reliance on COL Financial's execution of a buy or sell trade.
MB is posted to /PHinvest every Monday and Wednesday, but my newsletter goes out daily. To stay in the loop for daily email delivery, please join the barkada by signing up for the newsletter, or follow me on Twitter.
If you are new to investing into Cryptocurrencies this summary might help you.
Knowing basic terms:
You'll stumble across a lot of terms and expressions some are of technical & some of financial nature, for example:
What actually is the blockchain, how does Bitcoin work under the hood, what is proof of stake...?
It's also important to know what are some basic terms concerning investing in general:
marketcap, volume, liquidity, dollar cost average...
Following Crypto News:
May it be our beloved cc, twitter, big new-sites like cointelegraph - stay up to date. Knowing what is going on in the sphere can give you an edge but also mind the saying "buy the rumor, sell the news"!
Having an investment strategy:
Strategies will help you to control your emotions - act as rational as possible.
Define goals at what pricepoint you want to buy and when to sell an asset (entrance/exit strategies).
Don't buy or sell all your coins at once - do it in smaller steps because you never know when the price is right (use methods like Dollar cost averaging).
Patience: in this fast reacting market everybody chases quick money but if you wait for a strategy to pay off, or that a price recovers to recoup losses it can take weeks, months, years.
Don't chase pumps - it's often already over if a coin has pumped and you'll end up as "bagholder" buying in at high prices.
Don't invest more than you are willing to lose (it even hurts to lose small portions of money so be careful and responsible)
Diversify - don't put all eggs in one basket. Split your investments up into Coins that already are etablished, like BTC, ETH, add some promising Altcoins and only a small portion of moonshots for gambling...
Be prepared & don't get scammed:
Use apps like blockfolio or coinstats to track prices on your mobile device or visit webpages like coingecko and coinmarketcap.
Use Hardware wallets like Ledger & Trezor to store your assets safely - remember not your keys not your coins...
Don't leave too much money on exchanges.
Write always down your passwords, passphrases and seed words (best on paper away from your computer). You'll regret if you don't.
Never ever send someone those private information, don't reply to uninitiated chats or open suspicious mails.
Watch out for "Crypto gurus" promoting their pump and dump schemes.
The next XVG? Microcap 100x potential actually supported by fundamentals!
What’s up team? I have a hot one for you. XVG returned 12 million percent in 2017 and this one reminds me a lot of it. Here’s why: Mimblewimble is like Blu-Ray compared to CD-ROM in terms of its ability to compress data on a blockchain. The current BTC chain is 277gb and its capacity is limited because every time you spend a coin, each node needs to validate its history back to when it was mined (this is how double spending is prevented). Mimblewimble is different - all transactions in a block are aggregated and netted out in one giant CoinJoin, and only the current spending needs to be verified. This means that dramatically more transactions can fit into a smaller space, increasing throughput and lowering fees while still retaining the full proof of work game theory of Bitcoin. These blockchains are small enough to run a full node on a cheap smartphone, which enhances the decentralization and censorship resistance of the network. The biggest benefit, though, is that all transactions are private - the blockchain doesn’t reveal amounts or addresses except to the actual wallet owner. Unlike earlier decoy-based approaches that bloat the chain and can still be data mined (XMR), Mimblewimble leaves no trace in the blockchain, instead storing only the present state of coin ownership. The first two Mimblewimble coins, Grin and Beam, launched to great fanfare in 2019, quickly reaching over $100m in market cap (since settled down to $22m and $26m respectively). They are good projects but grin has infinite supply and huge never-decreasing emission, and Beam is a corporate moneygrab whose founding investors are counting on you buying for their ROI. ZEC is valued at $568m today, despite the facts that only 1% of transactions are actually shielded, it has a trusted setup, and generating a confidential transaction takes ~60 seconds on a powerful PC. XMR is a great project but it’s valued at $1.2b (so no 100x) and it uses CryptoNote, which is 2014 tech that relies on a decoy-based approach that could be vulnerable to more powerful computers in the future. Mimblewimble is just a better way to approach privacy because there is simply no data recorded in the blockchain for companies to surveil. Privacy is not just for darknet markets, porn, money launderers and terrorists. In many countries it’s dangerous to be wealthy, and there are all kinds of problems with having your spending data be out there publicly and permanently for all to see. Namely, companies like Amazon are patenting approaches to identify people with their crypto addresses, “for law enforcement” but also so that, just like credit cards, your spending data can be used to target ads. (A) Coinbase is selling user data to the DEA, IRS, FBI, Secret Service, and who knows who else? (B) What about insurance companies raising your premiums or canceling your policy because they see you buying (legal) cannabis? If your business operates using transparent cryptocurrency, competitors can data mine your customer and supply chain data, and employees can see how much everyone else gets paid. I could go on, but the idea of “I have nothing to hide, so what do I care about privacy?” will increasingly ring hollow as people realize that this money printing will have to be paid by massive tax increases AND that those taxes will be directly debited from their “Central Bank Digital Currency” wallets. 100% privacy for all transactions also eliminates one HUGE problem that people aren’t aware of yet, but they will be: fungibility. Fungibility means that each coin is indistinguishable from any other, just like paper cash. Why is this important? Because of the ever-expanding reach of AML/KYC/KYT (Anti-Money Laundering / Know Your Customer / Know Your Transaction) as regulators cramp down on crypto and banks take over, increasingly coins become “tainted” in various ways. For example, if you withdraw coins to a mixing service like Wasabi or Samourai, you may find your account blocked. (C) The next obvious step is that if you receive coins that these chainalysis services don’t like for whatever reason, you will be completely innocent yet forced to prove that you didn’t know that the coins you bought were up to no good in a past life. 3 days ago, $100k of USDC was frozen. (D) Even smaller coins like LTC now have this problem, because “Chinese Drug Kingpins” used them. (E) I believe that censorable money that can be blocked/frozen isn’t really “your money”. Epic Cash is a 100% volunteer community project (like XVG and XMR) that had a fair launch in September last year with no ICO and no premine. There are very few projects like this, and it’s a key ingredient in Verge’s success (still at $110m market cap today despite being down 97% since the bubble peak) and why it’s still around. It has a small but super passionate community of “Freemen” who are united by a belief in the sound money economics of Bitcoin Standard emission (21m supply limit and ever-decreasing inflation) and the importance of privacy. I am super bullish on this coin for the following reasons:
Only $400k market cap
Supply started at zero, so there are no VC’s and team to dump on you into the pumps - all coins are mined into existence, just like Bitcoin.
It just had its first halving, reducing emission from 16 to 8 per block. Between now and 2028 there are FOUR (!) more halvings, from 4 to 2 to 1 and then finally 0.15 (I guess that would be an 85%-ing :p) and at this point the supply is the same as BTC and stays in sync forever until the last coin is mined in 2140. This simple supply curve is already accepted by the market as a winner, so why mess with success? (I)
Meets Andreas Antonopolous’ 5 pillars of open blockchains test: Public, Open, Borderless, Neutral, and Censorship Resistant. (How many coins can say this?)
Unlike Bitcoin, Epic created a multi-algorithm approach that enables people to mine on ordinary computers - 60% for CPU on RandomX, 38% for GPU on ProgPow, and 2% for ASIC’s on Cuckoo31+. The algorithms don’t compete with one another. This is essential for leveling the playing field and preventing massive farms from dominating. These percentages can change over time and new algorithms can be easily dropped in. You can mine today using an old laptop and in 5 years you will still be able to. Incidentally, there is nothing standing in the way of adding mobile phone-based mining, which ETN showed there’s a huge demand for.
Based off the excellent Grin codebase, which means they continue to pull in ongoing core code enhancements and focus on ease of use and market penetration instead. (Smart!)
Litecoin’s Charlie Lee is out there daily talking about their move to Mimblewimble, which provides free publicity. What people don’t realize is that you can’t just bolt on Mimblewimble to a legacy blockchain, that’s like putting a Ferrari engine into a school bus - it’s still a school bus, not a race car! LTC is doing it as an optional soft fork via “extension blocks” which will not be supported by all wallets and exchanges. Also, anyone using “optional” privacy features is declaring themselves to be suspicious, which kind of defeats the point for people who care about privacy.
The community is friendly and welcoming to new people coming in, with lots of helpful (independently created) tutorials and guides. (F)
It’s already a global phenomenon, with the whitepaper in 20+ languages (G) and (not bot-infested) active local-language communities on not only Telegram but also Wechat, LINE, QQ and other messenger platforms.
It’s only on two random little exchanges currently, Citex and Vitex. Vitex is actually a pretty good DEX with no KYC and a great mobile wallet.
They are very creative - since centralized exchanges want huge money to list, they created a non-inflationary ERC20 tracker token that’s exchangeable 1:1 for coins so that Uniswap trading is possible (H)
Because it doesn’t have a huge marketing budget in a sea of VC-funded shitcoins, it is as-yet undiscovered, which is why it’s so cheap. There are only 4 Mimblewimble-based currencies on the market: MWC at $162m, BEAM at $26m, GRIN at $22m, and EPIC at $0.4m. This is not financial advice and as always, do your own research, but I’ve been buying this gem for months and will continue to. This one ticks all the boxes for me, the only real problem is that it’s hard to buy much without causing a huge green candle. Alt season is coming, and coins like this are how your neighbor Chad got his Lambo back in 2017. For 2021, McLaren is a better choice and be sure to pay cash so that it doesn’t get repossessed like Chad!
Voici LA chronique à découvrir, intitulée: La guerre contre Bitcoin. Idéal pour comprendre certains tenants et aboutissants
Voici LA chronique à découvrir, intitulée: La guerre contre Bitcoin. Idéal pour comprendre certains tenants et aboutissants… Bonne découverte! La guerre contre Bitcoin Bitcoin est peut-être le meilleur outil de liberté économique de cette génération, et peut-être depuis plusieurs générations. Malheureusement, Bitcoin a été furieusement étouffé par une guerre civile brutale depuis environ cinq ans maintenant; menée par des ingénieurs sociaux professionnels de certaines des entreprises les plus puissantes des médias sociaux. Leur talent dans l'art et la science de la manipulation a permis aux "Bitcoiners" de se battre largement entre eux plutôt que de chercher à créer des modèles commerciaux innovants basés sur les données qui pourraient révolutionner l'économie mondiale via Bitcoin. À la suite de la guerre civile de Bitcoin, trois versions concurrentes de Bitcoin ont vu le jour (BTC, BCH et BitcoinSV ), mais il en est de même pour environ 3000 autres projets et jetons de « crypto-monnaie » se faisant passer pour des entreprises légitimes, souvent jusqu'à un "exit scam" presque garanti, le fait de disparaitre du jour au lendemain avec tout l'argent des utilisateurs. Le principal bienfaiteur de la guerre civile Bitcoin a été Ethereum: une cryptomonnaie qui fonctionne comme une machine à états mondiale et permet un déploiement facile de tokens et de contrats intelligents. Mais le protocole Ethereum ne peut pas évoluer, et parmi les milliers de projets lancés, seule une poignée pourrait même être présentés comme pouvant devenir des entreprises légitimes. La plupart des autres sont des stratagèmes de Ponzi ou des émissions d'actions illégales enrichissant les développeurs et escroquant les investisseurs amateurs. C'est dans ce contexte que les défenseurs de BTC et de BCH, les porte-parole d'Ethereum et les altcoiners (nom donné pour englober toutes les autres cryptomonnaies) de tous bords s'alignent pour attaquer sans cesse le protocole Bitcoin préservé uniquement par le réseau BSV. Une industrie composée presque entièrement de criminels, de fraudes et d'arnaqueurs s'est unie contre BSV citant - et c'est là l'ironie! - une prétendue fraude et arnaque présumée qui serait l'existence même de BSV. Nous devons nous demander pourquoi ? Quel est le différenciateur clé de BSV? Pourquoi tous les arnaqueurs se sont-ils unis contre lui? Je suis fermement convaincu que pour la plupart, la motivation est la peur de la capacité de BSV à absorber l'économie mondiale et tous les autres projets «crypto» qui vont avec. Pour les autres, ou ceux qui ne comprennent pas le pouvoir du Bitcoin, ils sont entraînés dans une guerre civile et culturelle qui les dépasse. Il est essentiel de comprendre les pouvoirs en jeu et leurs implications pour Bitcoin et l'économie mondiale. Une histoire brève de Bitcoin Bitcoin a été lancé avec un "livre blanc" sur la liste de diffusion de cryptographie en 2008. Le pseudonyme « Satoshi Nakamoto » a déclaré une solution au problème de la double dépense. Or il s'agit là du problème de tous les systèmes de paiement électronique précédents, et c'était le seul facteur limitant l'adoption d'une monnaie digitale fonctionnelle. Mais qu'est-ce que le problème de la double dépense ? Pour faire simple, il était impossible de prouver exactement qui possédait quelles unités d'argent sur des registres distribués, de sorte que les utilisateurs ne pouvaient pas avoir confiance dans le système, et ces projets mourraient assez vite. Bitcoin a résolu ce problème avec un concept appelé la « preuve de travail ». Il pose la question: qui a utilisé le plus de puissance de calcul pour résoudre des énigmes arbitraires ? ceci afin de rendre compte de l'état du registre d'une manière qui coûte de l'argent, de sorte qu'il y ait une incitation économique à tenir un compte honnête des avoirs de chacun des participants. Ce processus est souvent appelé « exploitation minière » car les nœuds honnêtes qui maintiennent l'état du registre sont récompensés pour leur travail avec des nouveaux Bitcoins toutes les dix minutes - un peu à la même manière d'un mineur d'or qui est récompensé par de l'or en échange de son travail. Étant donné que Bitcoin n'avait aucune valeur lors de son lancement, il était extrêmement facile à miner et également gratuit d'envoyer des tonnes de transactions. En théorie, il s'agissait d'un vecteur d'attaque par déni de service (DoS). Une attaque DoS ou DDoS se produit lorsque les nœuds d'un réseau sont inondés de plus de données qu'ils ne peuvent en gérer et qu'ils se mettent donc à planter. Sur le jeune réseau Bitcoin, un crash comme celui-ci aurait été considéré comme un échec du réseau. Pour empêcher cela, un plafond de 1 Mo de données par chaque dix minutes de transactions a été codé en dur dans le logiciel - semant la première graine de la guerre civile Bitcoin. De 2009 à 2017, cette limite de 1 Mo sur le total des transactions était l'aspect technique le plus controversé du bitcoin et le déclencheur de la plus grande guerre civile virtuelle de l'univers de la cryptomonnaie. Pourquoi est-ce aussi important? Une seule transaction basique Bitcoin est relativement petite du point de vue des données, donc 1 Mo toutes les dix minutes donne environ trois à sept transactions par seconde avant que le réseau ne devienne trop encombré. Satoshi Nakamoto le créateur, a plaidé pour un nombre de transactions du niveau de Visa et bien plus, ainsi que son successeur direct en tant que développeur principal du projet, Gavin Andresen. Certains des premiers Bitcoiners influents comme Mike Hearn et Jeff Garzik ont également plaidé pour plus de données par bloc pour permettre à Bitcoin de se développer et de rester le meilleur système de paiement électronique. Ils étaient pour des «gros blocs» contrairement au camp des «petits blocs» qui préconisaient une permanence de la limitation de 1 Mo des blocs. Le camp des "petits blocs" estiment que Bitcoin n'est pas un réseau de paiement, mais plutôt qu'il s'apparente davantage à une banque décentralisée conçue pour stocker des Bitcoins qui ne bougent jamais: une sorte de coffre-fort d'or numérique. Ils voulaient que la limite de taille des blocs de 1 Mo reste permanente sous les auspices de chaque personne exécutant un «nœud complet» sans avoir à payer trop d'espace sur le disque dur. Cela signifierait qu'en période de congestion, les frais de transaction deviendraient absurdement élevés, mais cela n'aurait pas d'importance car le bitcoin ne devrait pas être utilisé pour des envois sauf en grosses quantités de toute façon, selon eux. En décembre 2017 les frais de BTC ont ainsi atteint les $50 par transaction. L'autre problème est que s'il est bon marché de rejoindre la gouvernance de Bitcoin, alors le réseau est facile à attaquer par Sybil, et je dirais que BTC est régi par des sybilles à ce jour. Le camp des "gros-blocs" estime que tout le monde sur terre devrait être en mesure d'échanger et de faire ses affaires sur Bitcoin pour des frais infimes, de l'ordre d'un centième ou millième de centime par transaction, afin d'apporter à la population mondiale la liberté monétaire, y compris aux pays les plus pauvres qui sont gardés en dehors du système actuel car considérés comme pas assez profitables pour des entreprises comme Visa. Les "petits-blocs" pensent que tout le monde devrait être en mesure de gérer soi-même le registre mondial chez soi, mais que seules certaines personnes très riches devraient pouvoir effectuer des transactions, ce qui est le cas quand les frais sont à $50 par transaction comme en 2017. Après des années de querelles, en 2017, Bitcoin s'est scindé en deux chaînes distinctes, et en 2018, il s'est à nouveau divisé. Alors quelle est la différence entre ces trois versions ? BTC est actuellement la version qui a le prix le plus élevé, avec la plus petite taille de bloc et la plus grande puissance de calcul. On peut dire que BTC à gagné la guerre médiatique. Malheureusement, il est régi par des développeurs et des sybilles qui contrôlent le consensus grâce à une utilisation intelligente de logiciels malveillants appelés «soft-fork» qui leur permet de saper les règles du Bitcoin. Ils utilisent ce pouvoir pour changer les règles des transactions en mentant aux nœuds et en leur disant de les valider quand même. Toute la culture BTC consiste à acheter du BTC afin de le conserver jusqu'à un moment dans le futur où il serait revendu à un prix exorbitant. Le but est de spéculer au maximum. Les paiements avec BTC, particulièrement les petits paiements, ou les transactions de toute nature non-monétaires, sont méprisés. BCH est un réseau basé sur Bitcoin qui pense que les blocs devraient être à peine légèrement plus grands, mais ils ont également des développeurs en charge des règles, tout comme BTC, et ils pensent que Bitcoin devrait être utilisé uniquement pour le commerce de détail, mais rien de plus. Le réseau change de règles tous les six mois. Les transactions non commerciales sont en général méprisées. Un nouveau scindement de BCH est prévu pour novembre 2020 suite à des conflits internes et l'incapacité à avoir un système de gouvernance dans un projet où les règles changent en permanence. BSV est la version restaurée du protocole Bitcoin original avec tous les paramètres ouverts afin que les nœuds honnêtes puissent s'engager dans un consensus conformément au livre blanc de Bitcoin - par la preuve de travail ! Le protocole est gravé dans la pierre afin que les développeurs de logiciels ne puissent pas bricoler les règles. Cela permet aux entreprises de planifier des décennies d'utilisation du réseau et d'investir en toute confiance. Il s'agit d'apporter une réelle innovation technologique au monde plutôt que de spéculer. En tant que seul réseau bitcoin totalement sans besoin d'autorisation, le commerce de toute nature est encouragé sur BSV. Tout, allant des réseaux sociaux aux expériences de science des données météorologiques ou aux tests de disponibilité du réseau, est encouragé. Paiements de détail, tokenisation, ou tout autre type de contrat intelligent est simple à déployer sans limitations. Bitcoin SV n'a aucune limite dans son protocole sauf l'esprit humain, l'innovation et l'esprit d'entreprise. Il vise également une adoption mondiale notamment par les pays pauvres afin d'apporter la liberté monétaire et l'inclusion à l'économie mondiale de ceux que les grandes entreprises actuelles comme Visa dédaignent comme pas assez profitables pour leur accorder leur services. Et c'est la racine de la haine envers BSV. Les "petits-blocs" ont investi toute leur réputation et leurs moyens de subsistance sur la notion que le bitcoin est incapable de s'adapter. Pendant des années, des experts présumés ont convaincu de nombreuses personnes que les limites de taille de bloc de 2 Mo, 8 Mo ou 22 Mo casseraient littéralement Bitcoin. Ils ont furieusement mis en jeux leur réputation sur ces fausses notions. Et ensuite, BSV a eu de nombreux blocs de plus de 100 Mo. En fait, il y en a même eu quelques-uns de plus de 300 Mo! prouvant que les petits-blocs se trompaient depuis le début sur les limites du réseau. Mais cette prise de conscience est une menace pour l'hégémonie de l'histoire médiatique qui a été crée sur Bitcoin. Depuis 2015, lorsque le Dr Craig Wright est apparu sur les lieux pour expliquer que le bitcoin avait en réalité ZERO limitations, il a créé un tollé massif parmi l'intelligentsia des petits-blocs. Les leaders d'opinion de l'époque étaient payés pour prendre la parole lors de conférences où ils expliquaient à tort que Bitcoin n'était rien d'autre qu'une réserve de valeur rare sans autre utilité, et surtout pas à usage des plus pauvres. Le Dr Wright parlait de l'échelle illimitée du réseau, de son exhaustivité de Turing, de l'objectif d'inclure enfin les plus pauvres dans l'économie mondiale, et d'autres notions inconcevables (à l'époque) sur Bitcoin. Sa passion et ses connaissances se sont heurtées à des calomnies et des railleries. Ils se sont concentrés sur l'attaque de son personnage au lieu de discuter de Bitcoin! C'est devenu l'une des principales méthodes d'attaque des petits-blocs. Lorsque de gros-blocs parlent des capacités de Bitcoin, ils sont ridiculisés en tant qu'escrocs et le sujet est toujours dirigé très loin de la discussion technique, car les petits-blocs savent bien qu'ils sortiraient perdants. Ils fouillent les dossiers personnels et cherchent des moyens de faire taire les gens du camp des grands-blocs de Bitcoin par des attaques personnelles - de la même manière que les guerriers de la justice sociale s'engagent dans la culture d'annulation contre leurs ennemis politiques. Qui est le Dr Craig Wright et que fait-il? Craig Wright est le scientifique en chef d'une société de recherche sur Bitcoin au Royaume-Uni appelée nChain : une société de 150 à 200 informaticiens. Craig dirige l'équipe qui étudie les possibilités de Bitcoin et de ses applications dans le monde. Il est l'un des experts en criminalité numérique les plus reconnus au monde avec les certifications SANS et GIAC ainsi que les titres GSE CISSP, CISA, CISM, CCE, GCFA, GLEG, GREM et GSPA. En outre, il est un polymathe multidisciplinaire de troisième cycle: un doctorat en informatique, économie et théologie et titulaire d'une maîtrise en statistique et en droit commercial international. En 2015, il a également été exposé par une publication conjointe de WIRED et Gizmodo en tant que Satoshi Nakamoto, le créateur de Bitcoin. Quelques jours après cette révélation, les gens qui le soutenaient ont vu leurs clés d'accès au code de Bitcoin révoquées, et de nombreux autres ont été instantanément bannis. Craig a été mis sous enquête par le bureau des impôts australien pour ce qu'il considérait être une erreur de comptabilisation probable de ses bitcoins. Les retombées ont été agressives et rapides, avec une gigantesque armée de petits-blocs, organisée sur Reddit et d'autres forums, et nouvellement financés par l'argent de la startup pro petits-blocs appelée «Blockstream». Leur message était clair: Bitcoin doit garder de petits blocs. Le Bitcoin ne peut pas évoluer et doit rester réservé aux riches, et toute personne proche de Craig Wright sera harcelée pour se conformer à une armée de comptes Twitter anonymes et sans visage. Voici un schéma qui retrace les financements de Blockstream et révèle comment le groupe Bilderberg, la banque centrale américaine (FED) et Mastercard on pris le contrôle du réseau BTC via Blockstream afin de le soumettre à leur propre profit: https://imgur.com/eFApDVE Au cours des années suivantes, Ira Kleiman, frère du défunt Dave Kleiman, a poursuivi Craig Wright en justice pour sa part du prétendu «Partenariat Satoshi Nakamoto», affirmant que son frère Dave était plus impliqué qu'il ne l'était réellement, et l'affaire est en cours actuellement, jusqu'à courant 2021. Ira Kleiman pense que Craig est Satoshi et il a investi une fortune incalculable dans cette attaque et a obtenu l'argent d'investisseurs extérieurs pour poursuivre sa poursuite. Il est clair que les bailleurs de fonds d'Ira pensent que Craig est également Satoshi. Les critiques qualifient souvent la révélation publique et le procès public de Wright de ternir énormément sa réputation, mais il convient de noter que les deux sont arrivés à Wright malgré sa volonté et qu'il ne souhaitait clairement pas être pris dans l'une ou l'autre situation. Au lieu de cela, Craig est un défenseur passionné de la vision d'un Bitcoin avec de gros blocs, appelant à la professionnalisation, à la légalisation et à l'utilisation mondiale de Bitcoin pour une utilisation à tous les niveaux du commerce. La réponse à la passion de Craig et à ses affirmations a été d'attaquer sa réputation et d'endosser Internet avec le surnom de «Faketoshi». Lorsque de simples brimades ont échoué contre le Dr Wright, des attaques ont été intensifiées pour remettre en question ses divers diplômes, des pétitions aux universités pour enquêter sur lui pour plagiat dans divers travaux, y compris des thèses de doctorat, etc. Wright a même revendiqué des menaces contre la vie des membres de sa famille et il y a plus qu'une preuve que, selon Ian Grigg, une des légendes de la cryptographie: «des gens sont morts pour Bitcoin, croyez moi, des gens sont morts». Les attaques en cours Cela ne peut être assez souligné: la communauté des petits-blocs est construite autour de tactiques d'ingénierie sociale professionnelles. Gregory Maxwell, co-fondateur de la société Blockstream, a été formé à la pratique de l'ingénierie sociale et l'a utilisé de manière si subversive comme un outil de propagande pendant son mandat en tant que modérateur rémunéré de Wikipedia, qu'il a finalement été démis de ses fonctions avec les journaux d'administration citant une litanie d'infractions, notamment: «Gmaxwell s'est engagé dans la création de faux comptes en masse…» - Alhutch 00:05, 23 janvier 2006 (UTC) «Menaces, insultes grossières, usurpations d'identité d'un administrateur», -Husnock 03:18, 25 janvier 2006 (UTC) «Son comportement est scandaleux. Franchement, il est hors de contrôle à ce stade. Son comportement d'intimidation doit cesser.» - FearÉIREANN 19:36, 22 janvier 2006 (UTC) «Sa liste de contributions est hors de propos. C'est du vandalisme. C'est un comportement auquel je m'attendrais d'un éditeur en furie, et franchement, c'est ce qu'est Gmaxwell.» - Splashtalk 20h00, 22 janvier 2006 (UTC) «Prétend être un administrateur, menaçant de bloquer les personnes qui ne sont pas d'accord avec lui, fait régulièrement des attaques personnelles» - SlimVirgin (talk) 12h22, 22 janvier 2006 (UTC) Il passe beaucoup de temps sur Reddit et d'autres forums à semer la peur sur les dangers des gros blocs, et il a été surpris en train de faire semblant d'être plusieurs comptes à la fois en train d'avoir de très longues discussions techniques sur Reddit destinées à submerger les nouveaux arrivants avec ce qui ressemble à un débat intellectuel contre une version de Bitcoin libéré de ses limites. Qui d'autre est attaqué? L'autre cible commune de la machine de guerre médiatique anti-BSV est Calvin Ayre: un milliardaire à la tête de l'empire du groupe Ayre. Calvin est un entrepreneur canadien et antiguais qui a lancé un incubateur Internet à Vancouver au tout début du boom Internet. Fils d'un éleveur, Ayre est surtout connu en dehors de l'économie Bitcoin pour la création et la professionnalisation de l'industrie du jeu sur Internet. Plus particulièrement, sous la marque Bodog, Ayre a aidé à moderniser les lois financières américaines obsolètes en poussant les limites dans les marchés gris qui existent où les dollars américains sont utilisés à travers les frontières pour s'engager dans un commerce juridiquement compliqué comme le jeu d'argent. Son travail dans ce domaine lui a valu une petite fortune et un passage sur la liste des «plus recherchés» du gouvernement des USA pour blanchiment d'argent. C'est un point sur lequel les petits-blocs aiment se concentrer, mais ils le sortent complètement de son contexte. Calvin a finalement plaidé coupable à une accusation mais a été le fer de lance de la modernisation des lois américaines qui existent aujourd'hui sur les marchés. Il est respecté pour son travail dans l'industrie du jeu, des médias et de la philanthropie. Calvin est le bienvenu aux États-Unis malgré la critique souvent citée selon laquelle il serait une sorte de hors-la-loi. Calvin Ayre Dans l'économie Bitcoin, Ayre est une figure de proue dans la gestion de nœuds Bitcoin honnêtes depuis plusieurs années sous les marques CoinGeek et TAAL, et il est un investisseur dans nChain ainsi que plusieurs startups de l'espace BSV. Bien qu'il soit probablement le plus gros investisseur à ce jour, il n'est pas le monopole que les petits-blocs laisseraient croire. Il est important de comprendre que des segments entiers de l'écosystème BSV existent complètement en dehors de son influence. Twetch, par exemple, est une entreprise indépendante appartenant à l'écosystème BSV, célèbre pour ses attaques contre les médias sociaux centralisés qui abusent de la censure. Ils sont même connus pour se moquer des entreprises qui acceptent l'argent d'Ayre, en plaisantant que Calvin possède tout sauf Twetch. Bien sûr, ce n'est pas vrai. Un autre excellent exemple est l'investisseur / entrepreneur indépendant Jack Liu : ancien dirigeant de Circle et OKEX. Liu possède la marque de hackathons CambrianSV ainsi que des propriétés précieuses dans l'espace BSV telles que RelayX, Streamanity, Output Capital, FloatSV et Dimely. Les autres acteurs clés sont MatterPool Mining et leur écosystème Mattercloud: une joint-venture entre des acteurs indépendants de l'écosystème BSV, avec des connexions directes aux protocoles BoostPOW et 21e8 et des relations avec des développeurs BSV indépendants. Bien sûr, il existe également des marques précieuses financées par Ayre. Il s'agit notamment de la propriété partielle via l'investissement dans HandCash, Centi, TonicPow et Planaria Corp de Unwriter. Une autre mesure importante à prendre en compte est la distribution de la puissance de hachage (autre nom pour la puissance de calcul du résau). Alors qu'au tout début de BSV, les entreprises appartenant à Ayre représentaient une quantité importante de hachage sur bitcoin, afin d'assurer sa survie, BSV est aujourd'hui en grande partie exploité par des mineurs concurrents de Ayre tels que Binance, F2Pool, OKEX et ViaBTC - dont aucun n'est «ami» de BSV ou d'Ayre, mais beaucoup se déclarent les ennemis. Ces mineurs soulignent bien la nature ouverte et sans permission de BSV qui permet à quiconque de participer, notamment à ses ennemis! Ayre est un acteur important, mais en aucun cas un contrôleur de la direction de la blockchain ou des entreprises indépendantes dans l'économie BSV. Mais pourquoi Craig poursuit-il des gens en justice ? Tout d'abord, et c'est crucial, le procès le plus important de Craig est l'affaire Kleiman. Les autres cas existent uniquement à cause de la diffamation publique du Dr Wright. Le hashtag #CraigWrightIsAFraud circule largement, poussé en grande partie par un mélange de personnages anonymes sur Twitter. Plus particulièrement Magnus Granath AKA «Hodlonaut» a été averti qu'une accusation publique de fraude courait à son encontre. La carrière du Dr Wright est en informatique et en criminalistique numérique, donc le déclarer publiquement une fraude sans preuve cause un préjudice financier au Dr Wright dans son domaine d'expertise commerciale. Puisque «Hodlnaut» a refusé de cesser, on lui a envoyer une requête pour être vu au tribunal afin de pouvoir apporter les preuves de ses accusations. Cela a causé le célèbre podcasteur de petits-blocs Peter McCormack à mendier d'être poursuivi aussi - en augmentant la rhétorique diffamatoire contre le Dr Wright. À la demande de McCormack, il a lui aussi été attaqué en justice pour être vu au tribunal. Le Dr Wright à depuis abandonné tous ses procès pour diffamation à l'exception de celui contre McCormack qu'il souhaite continuer pour faire exemple. Cela a aussi engendré la campagne #DelistBSV menée en grande partie par «CZ», le PDG charismatique de Binance-Exchange. Divers autres échanges comme Shapeshift et Kraken ont publié des sondages twitter demandant s'ils devaient emboîter le pas, et des petits-blocs bien organisés ont voté en masse pour retirer BSV de leurs échanges - citant la toxicité du Dr Wright pour avoir intenté des poursuites en diffamation contre Hodlonaut et McCormack. Finalement, BSV a été retiré de Binance, ShapeShift et Kraken. Il a également été noté publiquement par Coinbase et Gemini qu'ils ne soutiendraient pas cette version de bitcoin à la suite de ce drame public. Il faut noter qu'après 2 ans, Binance a retourné sa veste et est aujourd'hui devenu un des principaux mineurs de BSV. Au fur et à mesure que les choses progressaient, le fondateur de bitcoin .com, Roger Ver, a également réalisé une vidéo publique déclarant Wright comme arnaqueur. C'était après avoir travaillé sournoisement avec les développeurs Bitcoin ABC pour coder des points de contrôle dans le logiciel ABC de Bitcoin Cash, divisant de manière permanente le réseau Bitcoin pour la deuxième et dernière fois - un acte auquel le Dr Wright s'était opposé et pour lequel Roger est également poursuivi par d'autres parties privées en Floride. Roger Ver a été averti que s'il continuait, des poursuites juridiques similaires se présenteraient à sa porte pour avoir diffamé le Dr Wright, mais il à décidé de poursuivre les accusations publiques jusqu'à ce qu'il soit également entendu devant le tribunal pour fournir une preuve de la fraude de Wright, sous peine de sanctions pour diffamation publique. Aucune preuve n'a jamais été fournit, mais le Dr Wright a depuis abandonné ses poursuites contre Roger Ver pour se concentrer sur son procès avec Kleiman et celui avec McCormack ainsi que son travail sur Bitcoin. Et maintenant que se passe-t-il ? Nous avons établi l'histoire du Bitcoin, de sa guerre civile, des attaques publiques contre Wright, Ayre et BSV. Au moment d'écrire ces lignes, nous pouvons revenir sur les attaques contre Thomas Lee, Tim Draper et Jimmy Wales pour avoir eu une proximité avec BSV. Malgré la pression sociale, le rapport technique Fundstrat de Lee a rendu un examen élogieux du protocole fixe et de l'évolutivité infinie de BSV. Lee et son équipe étaient heureux de prendre la parole lors des événements précédents de CoinGeek, même après le tollé public. Pour la conférence CoinGeek 2020 à New York, McCormack, Hodlonaut, « Arthur Van Pelt » et d'autres acteurs tels que le Dan Held de Kraken et une cacophonie de trolls anonymes sur Twitter ont mis à profit leur expérience de la culture d'annulation à la bolchevique pour faire pression sur l'orateur Gary Vaynerchuk ainsi que d'autres orateurs prévus pour cette conférence, afin de les forcer à annuler leur participation. Cette attaque sociale contre BSV, Dr. Wright, Ayre et les autres entreprises qui utilisent le réseau BSV pourrait être un gigantesque cas de fraude à la consommation. Ils trompent activement les gens en leur faisant croire que le protocole fixe et l'évolutivité infinie de Bitcoin BSV sont en quelque sorte dangereux, alors qu'en fait, le protocole et le réseau sont imperméables à toutes les attaques, à l'exception de leur ingénierie sociale. Bitcoin SV s'est développé professionnellement avec un portefeuille de brevets de protection de niveau mondial. Il est utilisé par des entreprises indépendantes afin d'apporter des innovations technologiques et possède un groupe décentralisé de nœuds honnêtes qui se font concurrence. Le réseau est fixe, sécurisé et en croissance grâce aux investissements de petites entreprises et de gestionnaires de capitaux. Les transactions sont instantanées avec des frais de 0.0002€ par transaction en moyenne, explosant tous les records de compétitivité de l'écosystème et permettant aux plus pauvres de la planète d'enfin accéder à l'économie digitale mondiale. Les mensonges sont basés sur une campagne massive de dénigrement perpétrée par les communautés d'autres cryptomonnaies qui craignent l'adoption mondiale de BSV comme outil de commerce et ce que cela signifiera pour eux. L'histoire ne sera pas gentille avec ces manipulateurs et leurs réseaux qui sont financés par les fraudes probables des échanges de crypto-monnaies off-shore, le (très probablement) frauduleux Tether Stablecoin, et l'économie des arnaques de "pump-and-dump" qui sous-tend 95% du volume de négociation de l'ensemble de l'économie cryptomonnaie actuelle. C'est une guerre civile. Il y aura toujours des victimes, mais alors que BTC et BCH se concentrent sur les ragots et les affaires illicites, BSV veut que le monde entier soit plus libre, plus souverain et plus capable de coopérer sur le registre mondial de la vérité afin que les entrepreneurs du monde puissent s'engager à créer des entreprises ou de simples nano-services sont rendus possibles uniquement par Bitcoin. Bitcoin est un test d'intelligence. Au fil du temps, les personnes intelligentes pourront voir à travers le brouillard de distorsion de la réalité créé pour confondre les innocents et reconnaître cela pour ce que c'est, une attaque coordonnée pour tenter de supprimer une technologie qui à un potentiel unique dans l'histoire, et qui les rendrait obsolètes. Des exemples d'applications Bitcoin que vous pouvez utiliser dès aujourd'hui ? Les applications qui sont construites sur Bitcoin et interagissent entre elles par ce biais créent ce qu'on appelle le "Metanet". Si vous vous sentez prêt à faire le premier pas dans le futur vous êtes libres de tester les applications les plus populaires du Metanet sur https://metastore.app/apps?sort=money Le site le plus populaire du Metanet à ce jour est Twetch, une version de twitter incensurable sur la blockchain que vous trouverez ici : bit.ly/twetchapp _______________________ sources: inspiré de https://coingeek.com/the-war-on-bitcoin/ image : https://imgur.com/1Yb0Yle Voici un schéma qui retrace les financements de Blockstream et révèle comment le groupe Bilderberg, la banque centrale américaine (FED) et Mastercard on pris le contrôle du réseau BTC afin de le soumettre à leur propre profit: https://imgur.com/eFApDVE
Chainlink is the most overvalued "cryptocurrency" the world has ever seen
There are 1,000,000,000 LINK tokens, which gives it a market cap of $3.2 billion. If you remove Tether, that would place it #6 as the most valuable "cryptocurrency". If you remove XRP, which is also not a cryptocurrency, it would place it #5. If you merge bitcoin forks, it would be #3, right under Ethereum. Its current position is #11 according to CoinMarketcap, but that's because 650,000,000 tokens are owned by the team. Those tokens are not locked, nor legally bound by any agreement to not be sold. In fact the team has already started dumping them. They are literally circulating by any technical or legal definition, but for some reason CoinMarketcap decides to mislead investors and say they are not circulating. (https://beincrypto.com/chainlink-team-accused-of-dumping-530-million-in-link-tokens-over-six-weeks/) The team promises in its whitepaper that half those tokens will be "rewards for nodes", but why would you trust the team? They've lied countless times. For example when they plaster in their marketing everywhere that their oracles are decentralized (they are not), Vitalik himself says so. The only "consensus algorithm" they use is to KYC each node manually. (https://web.archive.org/web/20200416103509/https://www.reddit.com/LINKTradecomments/fyxc23/whats_up_with_vitalik_constantly_bashing/fn35ae0/) They've also lied about many partnerships. For example, they've said several times that they work with Swift, which is not true. They won some Swift competition in 2016, and radio silence since then. They still claim to be working with Swift today, but they conveniently removed it from their website not long ago. (https://web.archive.org/web/20190820085402/https://chain.link/) They also claim to be working with Google, which is also a lie. They did 1 blog post 1 year ago, which was basically a thinly veiled ad for Google Cloud services. It was provably neither a partnership nor integration. The Google employee never even ran a node on mainnet. Yet the team constantly boasts about "working with Google". (https://web.archive.org/web/20190820085402/https://chain.link/) They did the same with Oracle Cloud. Fernando (the Oracle employee that organized the "partnership") bragged about holding LINK after it pumped, got demoted, and all the Oracle startups that were supposed to be part of the "partnership" turned out to be dead or fake companies. It was at best a PR stunt for Oracle Cloud, at worst insider trading by Oracle employees. (https://web.archive.org/web/20200114062507/https://twitter.com/fribeiro1/status/1213946909464973316) Chainlink has dozens of other "partnerships". I don't have time to investigate all of them, but all the ones I looked into were basically fake. (And by fake I mean they are grossly exaggerated, the tweets and blogposts are real) As of today, even though they are the highest valued non-bitcoin, non-ethereum cryptoccurency in the world, the only project using their centralized KYC oracles are Synthetix (according to someone from their team). (https://web.archive.org/web/20200416104122/https://www.reddit.com/Chainlink/comments/fdwaad/request_examples_of_apps_built_with_chainlink/fjkhsjv/) They apparently have countless big name companies "that will use Chainlink soon", but considering their testnet has been usable for close to 2 years, they have 1-2+ years old "partnerships" that are still not using it, and that their MO is to lie as much as humanly possible, I doubt it's true.
A lesson that you can`t just throw in money in an unknown altcoin
EDIT June 14th: The plot thickens..... Seems like it might be Probit behind this scam? May 30th: goodbadidontknow was browsing his usual crypto tracker Coingecko while sipping on his tea. There is a section there called "Large movers" which let you know which coins/tokens have pumped most during the last 24 hours. In addition you find those who have dumped. goodbadidontknow saw a coin called Palace which had fallen 90% that day and thought to himself: There is no way that coin can fall further! In addition he went to the website of the project, and saw a roadmap with goals and everything. It was korean of course, so he couldnt understand a single word out of it. But the roadmap had pretty colours and stuff so he was intrigued. Plus the IEO they ran on Probit was priced at 20KRW, and the sale orders were at 0.5KRW that glorious day! goodbadidontknow deposited his Bitcoin to the unknown korean exhange it is listed on, Probit, bought up what was available for sale and the deed was done. Boats, hookers and fast cars here come to papa. You people that are selling for this cheap are suckers!! This is where he bought his coins goodbadidontknow came a little to his senses (after buying in pure FOMO of course) and tried to contact the founders on the website, but no answer. goodbadidontknow also discovered that there was no social media accounts on the project: no twitter page, no telegram. Where was goodbadidontknow suppose to talk to his soon-to-become-rich friends? June 13th: Palace have since fallen another 90% and goodbadidontknow is left with 10% of his investment. Volume was at $500k per day back when he bought, but have since dropped like crazy and is now at $2k per day. goodbadidontknow suddenly realize he was a victim of a wash trading scam. goodbadidontknow is still the sole subscriber to Palacetoken which he made himself and serve as a painful memory of his crypto adventures.
8/16 WEEKLY WATCHLIST [P.S. Only enter positions you feel the most comfortable with. Your money is your soldier only send him into the battle you think you'll win. Some of these I have taken positions. Some I am looking to take positions. I've posted how many shares I own of what multiple times ] PENNIES [💎-Long time gold][⁉️-Could go both ways][🚀-I think this is gonna shoot up][🔥-This imo is gonna be a fire stock to make money off of just dont get dumped on][⚠️-Already ran a bit be careful][👀-Watching this one closely][⭐- Huge Catalyst or info] PRIMARY FOCUSES: $FBIO, $FORD, $GRIL, $JMIA, $SINT, $IZEA, $AIM, $SOLO, $UAVS 🚀💸PENNYS💸🚀 $FORD - NOT THE US CAR COMPANY! ⭐Bought out Kablooe design. [Innovative medical and consumer design company]. This is risky! NO RESISTANCES AND SUPPORTS are a HUGE SWOOOOP down🔥🚀⚠️👀 $GRIL - ⭐CLAPPED CHEEKS on last earnings. Next ER Sept 30th PM. Weak support at $2.80. Decent:$2.13/$2.45. STOP LOSS RAID brought the momenteum down + a dumbass Halt. This could continue to push $3/$3.25/ $3.65/$4.15/$4.50👀🚀🔥⚠️*Plus their food slaps * $FBIO -⭐ 3.8MILLION SHARE BUY AT $3.15 HOLY FUCK BILL GATES?!?!?October 10th FDA approval date. Baby resistance $3.48-$3.52. Than gap to $4.30 WITHOUT ANY RESISTANCE BEYOND! Twitter pumpers are on this HARD🔥🚀👀 $SINT - ⭐Wednesday huge webinar. Mass support at $1.90-$2. Broke above $2.50 resistance. Upcoming $2.63 /$2.91🔥🚀💎👀 $AIM - Still believe this is a $5 ticker in the future. Chart looks to be squeezing upward in a cup and handle fashion[Bullish]. MACD setup quite well. Sitting right on a support. Godly support at $1.95. Decent support at $2.35/$2.54. Resistances $2.70-74/ $2.85/$3.02/$3.15. 💎👀🔥🚀 $BKYI - RUMOR MSFT Buyout August 19th! 3College Contracts for their product. Had a single buyer with a 200k share bid at $0.75. Support seems to be $0.63/$0.68/$0.71. Seems to be rough resistance at the $0.77-$0.78 range . After that could run $0.80/$0.93/$1.06🔥 $CHEK - UNGODLY oversold. 100% Shareholders at a loss! Revese split? Has until December. 52 week low. Expecting a HARD short squeeze here.[$0.52/$0.65/$0.86/$0.98/$1.30] Exploring US Partnership. 🔥 $IZEA - AUG 18th Webinar + TIKTOK NEWS!! NBA+NFL working with! Insane Support at $1.02. Decent support $1.28/$1.35. Resistances at $1.60/$1.92/$2. This screams run up to $1.90-$2!👀🔥🚀👀 $SXTC - Daily chart OVERSOLD. Bullish above $0.39 for a gap up to $0.42/$0.46/$0.52 $MYT - Offering should close 8/19. $0.30. IMO $0.28-$0.33 is a good entry. This should be an easy 5-10% runner. $CJJD - 5Year average $1.60. SMASHED EARNINGS. Warrants at $2.00. HEAVY support at $1.20-$1.29. Resistances to break are $1.39/$1.50. This should close up to $1.70-$1.80 in the upcoming weeks!💎🚀 $DLPN -⭐ Earning SMASHED as I expected. Resistances are $1.05/ $1.09/$1.16/$1.23/$1.40 💎🚀👀🔥⚠️ $SOLO - ⭐US MANUFACTURING Location PR by END OF YEAR. 4Hr MACD Breached. Daily MACD begining to breach upward. GOLDEN CROSS on 15min; soon on the 30minute!! Support is $2.33/ Resistances $3.10/$3.19/ $3.42. 💎🔥👀🚀 $ONTX - Made compliance not long ago. ⭐HUGE news in the next 35 days. Supports were $1/$1.11/$1.15. Resistances were $1.20/$1.25 /$1.35 💎👀 $MARK - OVERSOLD on earnings. Sitting on $1.30 support. Looking for a short squeeze $1.40/$1.57/$1.70/ $1.89/$2.18/$2.60 $TRVN - $2.30 Offering. Imo $2.20-$2.40 GREAT PRICE. Aug 19th-Aug 20th virtual chat! Really good drug pipeline. Support around the $2.20 area. Once offering closes I expect this to gap up to $2.50-2.75 minimal. 💎🚀👀 $AYTU - HUGE INSTUITIONAL BUYS 8/14. Delivering HEALIGHT for covid study.⭐ [Trump UV rays pump fee months back!]Earning September 24th. Insane support $1.25-$1.28. Looking for this to run to $1.40-$1.49/ $1.55/ $1.65. 👀🔥 $DGLY - MASSIVELY oversold on earnings. 4HR RSI IS 17! Great Wall support at $0.80 than $1.53/$1.85. Watching for a REVERSAL! Has a HUGE gap up to $2.85/$3.06/$3.13/ $3.25/$3.68.👀🔥🚀 $APEX - ⭐GOLDEN CROSS on Daily/4hr Support $0.55/$0.65. Once $0.70 resistance is broken this should gap up to $0.77-$0.79/ $0.94/ $1.01/ $1.10🔥🚀👀 $IDEX - What can I say. Alfs back on twitter dropping bombs. GODLY support at $1.22-$1.27/ Decent support at $1.30. Resistances at $1.46/$1.52/$1.62 $GECC - Monthly dividend 1.60% Yield. Golden Triangle approaching. Huge gap to $7 to fill.💎👀 $PSEC - Monthly Dividend yield 1.17%. Golden Triangle approaching. Decent gap to $6.50 to fill.💎👀 💰HONORABLE MENTIONS💰 : $UAVS - Corporate call 11am. HUGE CASH ON HAND Increase on ER[+1800%]. Revenue +516%. -$0.44 EPS YIKKKKKES $MARA/RIOT- Anytime Bitcoin is above 11.6k 💰Non-Pennys💰 $TFFP - Entered worldwide commercial liscensing with UnionTherapeutics. 99% Shareholders at a profit![scary] . Support is hella far away around $6/$9. HIT MY PT OF $14. Could it go more?!👀⚠️ $GOLD - Warran Buffet need I say more🔥⚠️ $JMIA - Super beatdown. End of year this should be a $20-$30 ticker. 4hr RSI 29!!!! 4hr MACD starting up again. Monthly MACD just now breaching. SUPER BULLISH above $12.25 for a nice gap filler to $13.15/$13.50/ $15.60/$18.80👀 $DSS - Upcoming merger. 4hr chart heading to OVERSOLD. VERY LITTLE support until $6. Resistsnces $7.60/ $8/$8.92/$9.50/$10.30/$10.80 $BABA - Upcoming earning. Trump talking about Chinese company bans LOL. If this gets beat down I'm going in HEAVY! $SPAQ - Tons of pre-orders aka free revenue without advertising. This should take off like NKLA did eventually!GODLY support at $10.60.Decent support at the $12 area. Resistances sit at $12.50/$13/$14. This could run up QUICK! FISKER dropping the PR bombs on twitter like a MAD MAN! 🔥🚀🌾Gold/Silver🌾🚀🔥 $AGC - 2x silver. Aka silver -1% AGC -2%. This is a day or swing trade. Depreciates $SLV - Long term silver hold $JNUG - 2x Gold. Same as AGC but for gold $NUGT/$GLD - Long term gold holds 🔮BET AGAINST THE MARKET🔮 $SPXS - 3X Inverse of SPY [The overall market] Spy +1% SPXS -3%. Spy -3% SPXS +9% $VXX - Fear index/Volatility Index. This goes up with market feaunsurity. USUALLY inverses $SPY ⚖UPCOMING FDA INFO⚖ $AQST - Sept 27th $LPCN - Aug 28th $ETON - Sept 15th, Sept 29th $OTLK - Phase 3 data due by end of month $MNK - Sept 12th $BHC - Sept 15th $FBIO - p1 results due sept 19th-21st https://newsfilter.io/latest/news [USE THIS SITE, LOVE THIS SITE, BEFRIEND THIS SITE] It gives live news [1-5mins delayed]. I refresh the FDA approval constantly and the latest news pretty often ONLY INCLUDED THIS BECAUSE SOME OF YOU ASKED! I still love each and everyone of you either way. This group will always maintain a free status because I enjoy the compassion, team work, and joy you guys bring me. If you would LIKE to donate [again BY NO MEANS REQUIRED] my Cashapp is $Hamstackz and Venmo is $JDH3703 If you do I very much appreciate it <3
Constellation has 15 node operators and they get 20 MILLION DAG EACH per year! With average dag price last 12 months that's $280,000 per satsgang member per year and $4,200,000 total per year. Only 3-4 get paid for the tech contribution, but the rest that got this sweetheart deal from constellation are satsgang members for doing "marketing" on twitter being admins on telegram. On top of that, they get more payment for projects like making shitty amateur videos for dag. Satsgang are dumping hard on constellation bagholders and truly fuck them over. All this was admitted by constellation admins in their telegram group, but later deleted when they realized their blunder. Normy dag bagholders are getting so fucked over by these scammers. Most well-known satsGang members and their alt accounts are: Bitcoin Brown, Lucky, Headroom, RN03xx, Denny Da Rocket, papousse 47, Moonshot Josh, Steven Toast, Le Chiffre Rambo, Bazerka, FauxPho, Adouble212, Johny Zcash, Rufys, Tyler Durden, vito, Braggo, Jonny Reid, Bread Bongo, Johnny etc., but there are more. Satsgang members sit in a constellation advisory board and they get constant company-project secrets that they use to trade in the market. They are screwing the normie dag bagholders so hard over. Those normies must really enjoy getting constant assraped by those pnd scammers Why would anyone use a notorious pump and dump group for "marketing"? Satsgangs constant and vile asskissing for months truly paid off. When team is so desperate to get praised, then you know its time to fuck off. Normies pay attention dag scammers hiring satsgang pnd scammers and pay them millions of dollars to scam normies. With well over 20 million dag to satsgang each month, they are dumping HARD on the market to fund their other pump and dump operations. Thats a disaster for the normie constellation investors. They are getting REKT! constellation did a 12x when it was shilled here on biz, after satsgang twatters took over "marketing" getting paid millions of $, it's just gone to hell.
Time to cash out. Satoshi and other early hodlers may never get this chance again.
Here's why at Pierce & Pierce we believe those dormant early hodlers have become active again. and we're going to see more of those 2009 bitcoin addresses cashing out. From 2011 at least, Bitcoin had become a weapon used by the Chinese regime and their 'anarchist' frontmen to weaken the power of the dollar by using economic fallacies, conspiracy theories and old fashioned goldbuggery to convince the public the dollar was going to eventually collapse and die. They believe this collapse could be hastened if everyone dumped the dollar for crypto. Let's suppose for a moment that they weren't behind bitcoin in the first place and that they simply leapt on the opportunities it gave them. The CCP pumped resources (loans, factories, subsidized electricity) into dominating the hash power and mining machines. Eventually, they even found friends to run exchanges and created hundreds of shitcoins (including Tether) to bleed Westerners for several years. Now it's 2020 and the dollar has proven to be resilient even after a pandemic and worldwide recession. The dollar didn't weaken despite trillions of dollars being printed by Jpow. There wasn't a massive rush of real money into creepto coins and gold barely budged after all those new dollars came into circulation. The dollar is historically very strong and even Trump has switched from wanting to weaken the dollar to improve American exports (which would help businesses and consumers a lot) to being proud of a strong dollar (for geo-political reasons). The dollar isn't going anywhere and bitcoin is backed by more and more worthless Tethers. Those early bitcoin hodlers have seen their beliefs fail and are now beginning to make themselves known by moving coins and signing addresses. They need to start cashing out while there is still a chance and with so little real cash available in the cryptocurrency exchanges they will need to get whatever they can soon because something else is on the horizon. It's no secret that US sanctions targeting Chinese officials are being discussed presently. Despite round after round of trade negotiations, the US doesn't trust China will live up to its promises. The CCP has a history of deceit, ripping off western companies, ripping off western investors and won't give up its expansionist ambitions, even after losing so much respect worldwide because of COVID-19 and the treatment of Uighurs, Tibetans and now Hong Kongers. The CCP, being ideologically hardline, is unapologetic. Sanctions against Chinese officials won't work if China pursues its digital currency and blockchain ambitions. These technologies are being embraced by the regime to work their way around potential sanctions, similar to how North Korea has used bitcoin to continue to fund some operations and enrich officials. Last year Trump and Mnuchin signaled what they would need to do if trade talks failed, China didn't live up to their side of the deals, and if sanctions were needed. Trump said 'I am not a fan of Bitcoin and other Cryptocurrencies, which are not money, and whose value is highly volatile and based on thin air.... We have only one real currency in the USA, and it is stronger than ever, both dependable and reliable. It is by far the most dominant currency anywhere in the World, and it will always stay that way. It is called the United States Dollar!' Mnuchin created a task force to look into what could be done to regulate cryptocurrencies and related crimes, such as evading sanctions. Could it be that bitcoin's earliest holders have now sensed what's up? They have not only seen that the dollar didn't collapse under mighty pressure, but they are also seeing the possibility that heavy handed global regulations could be put in place to ensure China doesn't evade sanctions by using bitcoin or other related technologies. Anything can happen, but there is a wide sense that the gig's up and it's time to make a dash for the exit. They can't cash out the millions of coins that were minted in the first couple of years but they will try to get whatever they can.
“No DeFi Ecosystem Without Chainlink” - Crypto Analysts Claim
However, The Oracle Network Received Accusations Of Being A “Well-Oiled Russian Pump-And-Dump Fraud” US investment analysis company Weiss Ratings made a bold statement, claiming Chainlink to be an integral part of the future DeFi revolution. The team at Weiss Rating went even further, claiming that there is no “#crypto revolution” without “decentralized finance.” And it’s looking more and more like there’s no #DeFi without #LINK.” The reason behind the bold statements is Chainlink’s recent price movements. The oracle network’s token, LINK, increased 36% from last week and marked a 126% price increase since July. Year-to-date data shows LINK’s price increased 18-fold – from a low of $1,73 on March 16, to reach an all-time high of $19.68 on August 16. Currently, LINK is trading at $14.38 Source: Cryptobrowser LINK’s oracle network powers DeFi protocols like Aave (LEND), Ampleforth (AMPL), Bancor (BNT), Kyber Network (KNC), Loopring (LRC), and Synthetix Network (SNX). Also, Chainlink’s oracle infrastructure has been integrated into leading crypto exchanges like Binance and Bitrue to provide accurate crypto price feeds for their products. However, despite the recent growth, Chainlink slipped down a position in CoinMarketCap’s rank, with Bitcoin Cash regaining its fifth position. Looking at the technical analysis picture, LINK may be heading to a slow fall, as after the all-time high, Chainlink’s token tested the $15 support zone. Crypto experts are considering that LINK crossing the 50-day moving average line would give the token a short-term upward push. Meanwhile, Chainlink fell under the crosshairs of Zeus Capital, which claimed Chainlink is nothing more than a “well-oiled Russian pump-and-dump fraud.” In a series of blog posts, the company elaborated on concerns that Chainlink may turn out to be a Ponzi scheme. However, Zeus Capital has been allegedly involved in a series of malicious activities, including offering payments to crypto-related Twitter users for posting unfavorable news about LINK. Zeus reached to crypto influencers like ‘The Wolf of All Streets’ Scott Melker and Josh Rager. Furthermore, Zeus Capital also reportedly opened a short position on Chainlink, betting that LINK’s price would crash 99%, which justifies the vicious attack on the sixth-largest cryptocurrency.
￼ ￼ Dogecoin surges to dizzying heights amid TikTok hype Oliver Knight July 9, 2020, 6:27 am Dogecoin, a longstanding staple of the cryptocurrency ecosystem, has been struck by a remarkably unexpected rally over the past 48-hours, with it now trading 82% higher against Bitcoin than it was two days ago. The meme-friendly digital asset, which was created as a joke in 2013, has emerged as a target for millions of TikTok users that claim it will rally all the way to $1. The #DOGE hashtag now has millions of posts on both TikTok and Twitter, with cryptocurrency exchanges responding by listing both futures and perpetual swap contracts of the cryptocurrency. This morning Binance revealed that as of tomorrow customers can trade Doge/USDT with up to 50x leverage. Bitfinex, meanwhile, announced that it will list MDOGE with a conversion rate of one million as it attempts to capitalise on the recent wave of hype. ￼ While a coin like Doge pumping unsustainably may seem like fun, investors should be wary about using leveraged products as it massively increases the risk of liquidation. To be clear, this is not financial advice but retail investors should be cautious about buying into an asset that has already made substantial gains on the back of a viral social media post, especially when Doge has been the recipient of a number of pump and dumps over the past two years. Looking at Dogecoin’s chart, the current level of 50 sats has been a historical point of support and resistance dating all the way back to 2015, which means price may be halted here unless another wave of volume comes in. For more news, guides and cryptocurrency analysis, click here. Update privacy choices
Apollo (APL) is a massive scam and you are all making the founder, Steve McCullah, rich
The Apollo Cryptocurrency
Apollo is the "all-in-one cryptocurrency" that has everything - smart contracts, sharding, the BEST privacy features, and more! They'll be sure to tell you all about Apollo's amazing features in their communities. Here's the only problem - it has absolutely none of those things right now and is all promises from a dev team that has not proven one bit of a competency yet. Their website is even built on Wix - but I'm sure they have the ability to make the great cryptocurrency anyone has ever seen like they say. Anyway.... Apollo is an NXT fork that lowered the block time down to 2 seconds. They have several other insignificant changes to the code (I'm talking seriously insignificant - like it changes nearly nothing) and will hail them as the greatest lines of code ever written, using big technical-sounding words to trick their extremely devoted, cult-like followers and mask what is essentially either:
An already existing feature of NXT with a different name
Changing a few lines in the code
So why is this an issue? There are plenty of cloned coins in crypto that claim to be the next best thing since sliced bread - so what's the issue with APL? Well there's a few. First, APL itself has been pumping parabolically recently and the APL team is fueling this pump as hard as possible. They are actively telling people word-for-word to load their bags now, we're going to be $1/APL soon (above Ethereum and Ripple in market cap) because we make them obsolete, and more. If you say anything about "if you made money on APL you should consider taking profits" or "the price has to correct after increasing like this" you will be IMMEDIATELY BANNED from their community, no questions asked. I'll go onto the Telegram next, but I need to mention that the founders have been verifiably dumping as much APL as they can during this pump on investors while continuing to fuel the buying with hype and fake news to keep this going for as long as possible. This isn't a surprise, as they already did this in the past: https://www.reddit.com/CryptoCurrency/comments/9m90il/proof_that_apollo_foundation_is_dumping_their_own/. Here are some APL Founder-held addresses if you'd like to watch them get rich in real-time: APL-4BUY-KK5W-B3KC-DMHBM and APL-NZKH-MZRE-2CTT-98NPZ
Now the Telegram. I could write a whole separate post just on this, but the APL Telegram group is the single most brainwashed group of people I have ever seen in crypto, and that's saying something because I've been in 100's of Telegrams. Saying ANYTHING - and I'm not kidding - ANYTHING - about the tech of APL (even asking a question about it), mentioning NXT, saying the word "fork", "dump", "sell" - the list goes on - will get you immediately banned. They ban so often that I've made a list of comments that got people banned so far: -"The price is up 700% in a week. I think I might take some profit in case it drops" -"Isn't the privacy of this coin exactly the same as NXT? Can someone explain how it is any better?" -"Why do you keep banning people for asking legitimate questions?" (followed up with response from an admin "These 'questions' are just FUD on NXT's tech...these people just want to see the project fail". - "How do you plan to implement sharding in Q1 when their is no code in the Github for it yet?" - "You guys think the privacy of this coin is really better than Monero?" Not only will you get banned. If you ask a question about the tech and get banned, the rest of the Telegram follows it up in the chat BY HAILING THE ADMINS like they are some sort of savant for saving them from the terribles FUDers. It is actually so ridiculous that I invite you, /cryptocurrency, to go see this for yourself. Ask a question - any question - about the tech of NXT - or really, just say anything that isn't "NXT TO THE MOON!". Just google the Telegram for the Apollo Community and see what goes on there for yourself.
The Founder: Steve McCullah
Now let's talk about the founder. I'm not even concerned if he was a scammer or not in the past, that's irrelevant. The concern is what he's doing right now. Besides clearly dumping coins, he is using the Telegram - which through banning all opposition to the project is essentially just a massive brainwashed hivemind that will do whatever the founder says - to pump the coin and swarm anyone who tries to pose any sort of legitimate argument against it with tons of people who act like they would die for this project. This has happenned at least 15+ times since yesterday in the Telegram. Here's a great example: https://imgur.com/a/09vUQo9 That is the FOUNDER of the project. His defense to criticism always has to do with the price/market cap of the project, usually followed with a vague promise about how some tech planned on the APL roadmap will pump APL more and destroy other cryptocurrencies. To see how well it works, read the comments of that tweet: https://twitter.com/lioryaffe/status/1087075217447546882 So this is bad, but then there's the fake news. The Founder CONSTANTLY publishes fake news to his massive army of shills to keep them buying and pumping the price of APL so he can dump on them. Here's an excellent example of this: https://imgur.com/a/eUCENY7 This one happened a few hours ago, and the APL Telegram is taking this news at face value, no questions asked, and talking about how Bitcoin is dead - that APL is new standard. They are eating news like this up as 100% fact. If you ask any questions about that news - what are the actual location, where are the news articles, etc - community turns on you and will call you names until an admin bans you. If an admin is there, you'll just get banned immediately. Seen it happen at least 10 times already with this one piece of news. The founder, when trying to defend this project, shills a few major points:
"3rd generation cryptocurrency" (as if forking NXT in 2018 magically makes this project better than all others),
Ultimate privacy (Guess what? It's not private at all! They use a coin scrammbler in the wallet- something which exists for bitcoin, ethereum, and many other coins - and claim that this makes their coin have the greatest privacy of any coin ever,
Decentralized file-storage (we all know storing files on the actual blockchain itself is essentially impossible, especially with NXT's tech - not that they even have any product out for this claim anyway. Don't worry, it's "coming soon" though)
Their coin "Forging" system - something already implemented by NXT that they have given a new name to
I don't even know what can be done at this point, or how to stop this machine from turning and making the founders rich. They already made several millions from dumping last time so they had the funds to hire John McAfee to shill the project this time around. The SEC should honestly be investigating the founder (Steve McCullah) and his practices, but I doubt that will happen. I'm not usually one to call out projects so harshly like this, but I feel terrible for the innocent people that are all going to get burned by the pump-and-dump happening now by holding their coins as the price drops into the ground. I invite you, reddit, to help spread the news and STOP SCAMS like this from plaguing the cryptocurrency space. If you have any suggestions of what we can do to stop projects like this, let me know as there are many people watching this project scam who feel helpless right now.
Want to start fresh after the crypto crash? Here is a comprehensive guide on how to invest and prosper over the long term.
Well its happened, the crypto market just experienced the worst crash since 2014, the bubble has burst. The idiocy of newbies FOMO-ing into anything with low nominal value lead to endless twitter timelines like this, and now nobody has any idea where the market settles. What do you do now? In the following weeks it will be a good time to rethink your investment approach and how you arrive at your decisions. Just buying whatever is shilled on Twitter or Reddit and jumping from one crypto to another isn't going to work like it did these last two months. The good news is that we're finally back closer and closer to our long term moving average which is much more healthy for entrants, the bad news is that the fear might continue compounding if outstanding issues are not dealt with. Tether is the big concern for me personally for reasons I've stated many times, but some relief in the short term may come if the SEC and CFTC meeting on February 6th goes well. Nobody really knows where the bottom is but I think we're now past the "irrational exhuberance" stage and we're entering a period of more serious inspection where cryptos will actually have to prove themselves as useful. I suspect hype artists like CryptoNick and John McAfee will fall out of favor. But perhaps most importantly use this as a learning experience, don't try to point fingers now. The type of dumb behavior that people were engaging in that was rewarded in a bull market (chasing pumps, going all in on a shillcoin, following hype..etc) could only ever lead to what we are experiencing now. Just like so many people jumped on the crypto bandwagon during the bull run, they will just as quickly jump on whatever bandwagon is to be used to blame for the deflation of the bubble. Nobody who pumped money into garbage without any use case will accept that they themselves with their own investing behavior were the real reason for the gross overvaluation of most cryptocurrencies, and the inevitable crash. So if you're looking for a fresh start after the massacre (or just want to get in now), here is a guide:
Part A: Making a Investment Strategy
This is your money, put some effort into investing it with an actual strategy. Some simple yet essential advice that should apply to everyone, regardless of individual strategy:
Slow down and research each crypto that you're buying for at least a week.
Don't buy something just because it has risen.
Don't exit a position just because it has declined.
Invest only as much as you can afford to lose.
Prepare enter and exit strategies in advance.
First take some time to think about your ROI target, set your hold periods for each position and how much you are actually ready to risk losing. ROI targets A lot of young investors who are in crypto have unrealistic expectations about returns and risk. A lot of them have never invested in any other type of financial asset, and hence many seem to consider a 5-10% ROI in a month to be unexciting. But its important to temper your hype and realize why we had this exponential growth in the last year and how unlikely it is that we see 10x returns in the next year. What we saw recently was Greater Fool Theory in action. Those unexciting returns of 5-10% a month are much more of the norm, and much more healthy for an alternative investment class. You can think about setting a target in terms of the market ROI over a relevant holding period and then add or decrease based on your own risk profile. Example: Calculating a 2 year ROI target Lets say you want to hold for 2 years now, how could you set a realistic target to strive for? You could look at a historical 2 year return as a base, preferably during a period similar to what we're facing now. Now that we had a major correction, I think we can look at the two year period starting in 2015 after we had the 2014 crash. To calculate a 2 year CAGR starting in 2015:
Total Crypto Market Cap
Jan 1, 2015:
Jan 1, 2017:
Compounded annual growth return (CAGR): [(18/5.5)1/2]-1 = 81% This annual return rate of 81% comes out to about 4.9% compounded monthly. This may not sound exciting to the lambo moon crowd, but it will keep you grounded in reality. You can aim for a higher return (say 2x of that 81% rate) if you choose to take on more risky propositions. I can't tell you what return target you should set for yourself, but just make sure its not depended on you needing to achieve continual near vertical parabolic price action in small cap shillcoins because that isn't sustainable. Once you have a target you can construct your risk profile (low risk vs. high risk category coins) in your portfolio based on your target. Risk Management Everything you buy in crypto is risky, but it still helps to think of these 3 risk categories:
Core holdings - This is the exchange pairing cryptos and those that are well established. These are almost sure to be around in 5 years, and will recover after any bear market. The Coinbase pairs (Bitcoin, Litecoin and Ethereum) are in this class of risk, and I would also argue Monero.
Medium Risk Speculative - These would be cryptos which generally have a working product and niche, but higher risk than Core. Things like ZCash and Ripple, relatively established history but still uncertainty over long term viability.
High Risk Speculative - This is anything created within the last few months, ICOs, low caps, shillcoins...etc. Most cryptos are in this category.
How much risk should you take on? That depends on your own life situation for one, but also it should be proportional to how much expertise you have in both financial analysis and technology. The general starting point I would recommend is:
50-70% for newbies in Low Risk Core, then you can go down to 30% as you gains confidence and experience
Always try to keep at least a 1/3rd in safe core positions
Don't go all in on speculative picks.
Some more core principles on risk management to consider:
Diversify across sectors and rebalance your allocations periodically.
Consider using dollar cost averaging to enter a position. This generally means investing a X amount over several periods, instead of at once. You can also use downward biased dollar cost averaging to mitigate against downward risk. For example instead of investing $1000 at once in a position at market price, you can buy $500 at the market price today then set several limit orders at slightly lower intervals (for example $250 at 5% lower than market price, $250 at 10% lower than market price). This way your average cost of acquisition will be lower if the crypto happens to decline over the short term.
Don't have more than 5-10% of your net worth in crypto.
Have the majority of your holdings in things you feel good holding for at least 2 years. Don't use the majority of your investment for day trading or short term investing.
Remember you didn't actually make any money until you take some profits, so take do some profits when everyone else is at peak FOMO-ing mode.
Have some fiat in reserve at a FDIC-insured exchange (ex. Gemini), and be ready to add to your winning positions on a pullback. This should be part of your entry strategy.
Consider what level of loss you can't accept in a position with a high risk factor, and use stop-limit orders to hedge against sudden crashes. Set you stop price at about 5-10% above your lowest limit. Stop-limit orders aren't perfect but they're better than having no hedging strategy for a risky microcap in case of some meltdown. Only you can determine what bags you are unwilling to hold.
You can think of each crypto having a risk factor that is the summation of the general crypto market risk (Rm), but also its own inherent risk specific to its own goals (Ri). Rt = Rm +Ri The market risk is something you cannot avoid, it is essentially the risk that is carried by the entire market over things like regulations. What you can minimize though the Ri, the specific risks with your crypto. That will depend on the team composition, geographic risks (for example Chinese coins like NEO carry regulatory risks specific to China), competition within the space and likelihood of adoption and other factors, which I'll describe in Part 2: Crypto Picking Methodology. Portfolio Allocation Along with thinking about your portfolio in terms of risk categories described above, I really find it helpful to think about the segments you are in. OnChainFX has some segment categorization but I generally like to bring it down to:
Think about your "Circle of Competence", your body of knowledge that allows you to evaluate an investment. Your ability to properly judge risk and potential is going to largely correlated to your understanding of the subject matter. If you don't know anything about how supply chains functions, how can you competently judge whether VeChain or WaltonChain will achieve adoption? If you don't understand anything about the tech when you read the Cardano paper, are you really able to determine how likely it is to be adopted? Consider the historic correlations between your holdings. Generally when Bitcoin pumps, altcoins dump but at what rate depends on the coin. When Bitcoin goes sideways we tend to see pumping in altcoins, while when Bitcoin goes down, everything goes down. You should diversify but really shouldn't be in much more than around 12 cryptos, because you simply don't have enough competency to accurately access the risk across every segment and for every type of crypto you come across. If you have over 20 different cryptos in your portfolio you should probably think about consolidating to a few sectors you understand well.
Part B: Crypto Picking Methodology (Due Dilligence)
Do you struggle on how to fundamentally analyze cryptocurrencies? Here is a 3-step methodology to follow to perform your due dilligence:
Step 1: Filtering and Research
There is so much out there that you can get overwhelmed. The best way to start is to think back to your own portfolio allocation strategy and what you would like to get more off. For example in my view enterprise-focused blockchain solutions will be important in the next few years, and so I look to create a list of various cryptos that are in that segment. Upfolio has brief descriptions of the top 100 cryptos and is filterable by categories, for example you can click the "Enterprise" category and you have a neat list of VEN, FCT, WTC...etc. Once you have a list of potential candidates, its time to read about them:
Critically evaluate the website. If it's a cocktail of nonsensical buzzwords, if its unprofessional and poorly made, stay away. Always look for a roadmap, compare to what was actually delivered so far. Always check the team, try to find them on LinkedIn and what they did in the past.
Read the whitepaper or business development plan. You should fully understand how this crypto functions and how its trying to create value. If there is no use case or if the use case does not require or benefit from a blockchain, move on.
Check the blockchain explorer. How is the token distribution across accounts? Are the big accounts selling? Try to figure out who the whales are (not always easy!) and what the foundation/founder account is based on the initial allocation.
Look at the Github repos, does it look empty or is there plenty of activity?
Search out the subreddit and look at a few Medium or Steem blogs about the coin. How "shilly" is the community, and how much engagement is there between developer and the community?
I would also go through the BitcoinTalk thread and Twitter mentions, judge both the length and quality of the discussion.
You can actually filter out a lot of scams and bad investments by simply keeping your eye out on the following red flags:
allocations that give way too much to the founder
guaranteed promises of returns (Bitcooonnneeeect!)
vague whitepapers filled with buzzwords
vague timelines and no clear use case
Github with no useful code and sparse activity
a team that is difficult to find information on
Step 2: Passing a potential pick through a checklist
Once you feel fairly confident that a pick is worth analyzing further, run them through a standardized checklist of questions. This is one I use, you can add other questions yourself:
Crypto Analysis Checklist
What is the problem or transactional inefficiency the coin is trying to solve?
What is the Dev Team like? What is their track record? How are they funded, organized?
How big is the market they're targeting?
Who is their competition and what does it do better?
What is the roadmap they created and how well have they kept to it?
What current product exists?
How does the token/coin actually derive value for the holder? Is there a staking mechanism or is it transactional?
Is there any new tech, and is it informational or governance based?
Can it be easily copied?
What are the weaknesses or problems with this crypto?
The last question is the most important. This is where the riskiness of your crypto is evaluated, the Ri I talked about above. Here you should be able to accurate place the crypto into one of the three risk categories. I also like to run through this checklist of blockchain benefits and consider which specific properties of the blockchain are being used by the specific crypto to provide some increased utility over the current transactional method:
Benefits of Cryptocurrency
Decentralization - no need for a third party to agree or validate transactions.
Transparency and trust - As blockchain are shared, everyone can see what transactions occur. Useful for something like an online casino.
Immutability - It is extremely difficult to change a transaction once its been put onto a blockchain
Distributed availability - The system is spread on thousands of nodes on a P2P network, so its difficult to take the system down.
Security - cryptographically secured transactions provide integrity
Simplification and consolidation - a blockchain can serve as a shared ledger in industries where multiple entities previously kept their own data sources
Quicker Settlement - In the financial industry when we're dealing with post-trade settlement, a blockchain can drastically increase the speed of verification
Cost - in some cases avoiding a third party verification would drastically reduce costs.
Step 3: Create a valuation model
You don't need to get into full modeling or have a financial background. Even a simple model that just tries to derive a valuation through relative terms will put you above most crypto investors. Some simple valuation methods that anyone can do: Probablistic Scenario Valuation This is all about thinking of scenarios and probability, a helpful exercise in itself. For example: Bill Miller, a prominent value investor, wrote a probabilistic valuation case for Bitcoin in 2015. He looked at two possible scenarios for probabalistic valuation:
becoming a store-of-value equal to gold (a $6.4 trillion value), with a .25% probability of occurring
replacing payment processors like VISA, MasterCard, etc. (a $350 million dollar value) with a 2.5% probability
Combining those scenarios would give you the total expected market cap: (0.25% x 6.4 trillion) + (2.5% x 350 million). Divide this by the outstanding supply and you have your valuation. Metcalfe's Law Metcalfe's Law which states that the value of a network is proportional to the square of the number of connected users of the system (n2). So you can compare various currencies based on their market cap and square of active users or traffic. We can alter this to crypto by thinking about it in terms of both users and transactions: For example, compare the Coinbase pairs:
Daily Transactions (last 24hrs)
Active Addresses (Peak 1Yr)
Metcalfe Ratio (Transactions Based)
Metcalfe Ratio (Address Based)
Generally the higher the ratio, the higher the valuation given for each address/transaction. Market Cap to Industry comparisons Another easy one is simply looking at the total market for the industry that the coin is supposedly targeting and comparing it to the market cap of the coin. Think of the market cap not only with circulating supply like its shown on CMC but including total supply. For example the total supply for Dentacoin is 1,841,395,638,392, and when multiplied by its price in early January we get a market cap that is actually higher than the entire industry it aims to disrupt: Dentistry. More complex valuation models If you would like to get into more fleshed out models with Excel, I highly recommend Chris Burniske's blog about using Quantity Theory of Money to build an equivalent of a DCF analysis for crypto. Here is an Excel file example of OMG done by Nodar Janashia using Chris' model . You should create multiple scenarios with multiple assumptions, both positive and negative. Have a base scenario and then moderately optimistic/pessimistic and highly optimistic/pessimistic scenario. Personally I like to see at least a 50% upward potential before investing from my moderately pessimistic scenario, but you can set your own safety margin. The real beneficial thing about modelling isn't even the price or valuation comparisons it spits out, but that it forces you to think about why the coin has value and what your own assumption about the future are. For example the discount rate you apply to the net present utility formula drastically affects the valuation, and it reflects your own assumptions of how risky the crypto is. What exactly would be a reasonable discount rate? What about the digital economy you are assuming for the coin, what levers affects its size and adoption and how likely are your assumptions to come true? You'll be a drastically more intelligent investor if you think about the fundamental variables that give your coin the market cap you think it should hold.
Summing it up
The time for lambo psychosis is over. But that's no reason to feel down, this is a new day and what many were waiting for. I've put together in one place here how to construct a portfolio allocation (taking into consideration risk and return targets), and how to go through a systematic crypto picking method. I'm won't tell you what to buy, you should always decide that for yourself and DYOR. But as long as you follow a rational and thorough methodology (feel free to modify anything I said above to suit your own needs) you will feel pretty good about your investments, even in times like these. Edit: Also get a crypto prediction ferret. You won't regret it.
It's been about 6 months since this list was last updated, let's see if we can get to 101. Currently at 76. 1-Pushes his cat in a cat stroller 2 -Gets another man to change a lightbulb 3 -Rides around on a 9bot 4 -Choked on a shot of whiskey 5 -Complained about his drawn butter 6 -Makes homosexual jokes about co-workers 7 -Mocks people with speech impediments and/or disabilities 8 -Watched all Twilight and 50 Shades movies 9 -Drinks Champagne all year round 10 -Befriended a mouse that lives in bushes outside his house. Claims mouse had "little mouse hands". (credit thehotsister) 11 -Asks women if they like backdoor action 12 -Asks women when they started developing breasts 13 -Facetimes with an 8 year old girl regularly 14 -Likes to tell stories about his threesomes with another dude, not sure as if he recalls having a threesome with 2 females. (Chaka7511) (Terryballsonchin) 15 -Started wrestling boys around the same time he started masturbating, not sure as if he recalls wrestling a girl. (Chaka7511) 16 -Likes to befriend turtles. (rawdog87) 17 -Hates every popular thing for inexplicable reasons . (blueskynoise88) 18 -Lets ex girlfriend Duji walk all over him. (blueskynoise88) 19 -Has never exceeded 199.99 pounds. (blueskynoise88) 20 -Dislikes people that are passionate about stuff. (jt312) 21 -Once downed a tub of animal crackers over the course of one show. (ThrashemCatchem) 22 -Calls B2's dad for anything that involes tools. (qigger) 23 -Once picked up a hammer and was rushed to ER by B2mywife for a sliver that was undetectable with modern medical technology. (SnitzTheGoat) 24 -Doesn't feel comfortable eating chocolate covered bananas in public. (Sanity0004) 25 -Sprained his wrist while attempting to vacuum. Bought a Roomba instead. (DetroitLightningSF) 26 -Loves telling long stories about the shit ton of dippin dots he ate over weekend. (Subtle_OG) 27 -Has expressed interest in learning more about soccer. (liluzipurp) 28 -Likes to freeze his chocolate dusted nuts. Claims they are delicious. (jeffmoss262) 29 -Got married in swishy pants. (Triceratastic) 30 -Plays the flute. (notdongbobbler) 31 -Has wife pump gas when he's not in his Tesla, that he owns, because it's electric and thus doesn't need gas. (MrsHoose6) 32 -Was shot but fortunately the bullet only grazed him and didn't leave much of a scar. 33 -Rarely mentions this subreddit and says Reddit like he's unsure what it is. 34 -Deleted message board from his website and claims he doesn't read internet comments. 35 -Doesn't like to acknowledge the city that made him. Prefers "The City where the show is based" and sometimes "Up north here" 36 -Wears a "nail bracelet" that his wife gave him for "nailing her so good". (hspencer1) 37 -When Anderson Cooper comes up, Rover likes to mention at least 3 times that he really likes Anderson Cooper. 38 -Was once kidnapped by a large woman and possibly sexually assaulted, but not sure... 39 -Favorite insults are "What a doooosh" and "What a jacknut" 40 -Invites a tech expert on show to take calls, makes a joke suggesting the tech expert is a pervert, then proceeds to answer calls himself. 41 -Ahhbsessed with anal sex. Likes to tell every hookup girl the proper way to do it. LOTS OF LUBE! 42 -Shaves all of his body hair, including his anus. Hmm... 43 -Chose to travel the world with Charlie, whom he insists is a beta homosexual. Strange coincidence... 44 -Bought an orginal Star Trek outfit for over a thousand dollars. Says Game of Thrones fans are nerds. (jerichosway) (lucky917) 45 -Claims he has never told B2 his wife that he loves her. (SnitzTheGoat) 46 -Allegedly told Duji he loves her when they dated. 47 -Had sex with Duji for a decade. 48 -Married a girl out of his league, B2mywife, but seemingly prefers masturbating in bed while she sleeps instead of sex. 49 -Had B2 his wife assemble his grill. 50 -Never spoke on the phone with B2 his wife until they married. Later shocks his fans by admitting that he did in fact speak to her before the marriage. (hspcencer1) 51 -Talks to Duji on the phone every morning on his way to work. 52 -Made a sex tape with Duji. Ewww that is sick! 53 -Would send emails to Duji posing as his cat. 54 -Took time off work when his cat died. 55 -Found out his dad died on the air. Shrugged it off. 56 -Sent his Uber driver back to pick up his baseball cap. (CantLookAway99) 57 -Doesn't understand how Charlie and Snitz have so much time to watch netflix and hulu. Proceeds to watch 86 episodes of the Sopranos in 2 weeks. 58 -Watches every Oscar nominated movie to prepare for the Oscars, then spends two days gabbing all about it. 59 -Cried in bed next to Duji when he was allegedly dumped by a local news reporter. 60 -Makes fun of Rush Limbaughs fake radio voice, used to sound an awful lot like Rush Limbaugh. See Dieter vs Butterbean. 61 -Likes to interrupt people to correct their pronunciation. 62 -Likes to stop in the middle of an email to point out a misspelled word. 63 -Doesn't follow anyone on twitter. 64 -Doesn't recall if he was engaged to Duji. 65 -Doesn't have kids, but cut ones umbilical cord. 66 - Claims rock is dead and thus has no choice but to listen to Pink, Taylor Swift and Camila Cabello. Even had a Range Rover that only played Pink. (Cantlookaway99) (Chaka7511) (Dieterswig) 67 -According to one eye witness Rover was seen dancing on his boat to a Pink song. (Mtneer24) 68 -Comes up with painful and/or humiliating competitions for his underlings but never competes himself. 69 -Used to pick up chicks by pretending to be an australian actor, complete with accent and his black friend Tyrone playing the part of bodyguard. 70 -Had an indian friend Patel, says he smelled of curry and didn't even know it. 71 -Said the girls of Babymetal were hot, not realizing they were 12-14 at the time. 72 -Thinks Track Jackets and Hurley hats are cool. 73 -Can not say the word "podcast" without immense disdain. 74 -His show is always #1 when an affiliate drops him. 75 -Handles criticism by talking louder than caller, then claiming said caller hung up. 76 -Says he was #1 before JLR and will be #1 after JLR. Most viewed youtube clip is JLR. 77 -Drinks La Croix. Update 2.0 78 -Wrestles with co-workers 9 year old girl 79 -Plays mysterious "sleeping monster" game with co-workers 9 year old girl 80 -Kicked out of Auschwitz for squeaky shoes 81 -Says Cindy on The Brady Bunch was "the hot one" 82 -Called his co-workers morons for jumping on the Bitcoin bandwagon while secretly investing himself (calipiterseverywhere) 83 -Hosted illegal warehouse parties during his rebellious teenage flute playing years. (BigGulpsx) 84 -Wears hoodies in the summer. Too Alpha for AC. (chongo11) 85 -Lost wedding ring playing in the snow with ex-girlfriends daughter (chongo11) 86 -Asks for an opinion, proceeds to explain how opinion is wrong, just wrong! (NwoNW) 87 -Approves of a rejoin shitting on other shows for doing lists, proceeds to do 1-2 lists per show. (NwoNW) 88 -Gets tour bus with his face plastered all over it to get the show more exposure, then hides bus in secluded parking lots. (jeffmoss262) 89 -Wants gun regulations for people with mental health issues. Lost his shit when his ex-girlfriend went on a date. (PeterMEWL) 90 -Wore zippers fashioned into a jacket in Paris. (Fartboxboy4life) 91 -Shits on Dieter for keeping his girlfriend now wife secret. Was in secret relationship with Duji for a decade. (Fartboxboy4life) 92 -Gets an upset tummy when he drinks beer. Going to Germany for Oktoberfest. 93 -Frequent emergency bowel movements and avoidance of B2 suggests leaky butt and explosive diarrhea, possibly from a stretched/weakened sphincter. (DeeJayShawDay) 94 -Has spent entire segments arguing over the correct pronunciation of Maybach. 95 -Is pro eugenics 96 -Explained away a pile of tissues next to his bed as being the result of so much sex with B2mywife. 97 -Laughs at JLR for getting a prostitute. Brags about dating a porn star. 98 -Flooded the engine of his sport suv by driving through a puddle (sandiegotaco) 99 -Still claims he's never told his wife that he loves her but is sure to tell her how much he appreciates her everyday. (Roger4Pres) 100 -Has pictures of co-workers 9 year old daughter all over his workcenter. (Roger4Pres) 101 -Rover during his teenage years of running from cops and banging chicks left and right. https://imgur.com/gallery/MzRS0h4 (DeeJayShawDay) 102 -Claims he can throw a baseball 75+ mph but on the day he was going to prove it his wrist starting hurting. (Roger4Pres) 103 -Claims he has a friend. What's more, this friends name is "Crank" and Rover talks to him about once a year. (Roger4Pres) 104 -Became an expert in mental health after working in a mental hospital for 1 year, but doesn't like to mention this more than once every 3 hours. (mos661) 105 -Is sure to let every black celebrity he interviews know that he had a single mother and they were poor when he was growing up in Vegas. (mos661) 106 -Made his wife quit her job to “help” with all of his business. Does not pay her anything, then bitches when she wants something. “B2 is looking for a new car, well I guess I’m getting a new car cuz I’m paying for it” (hspencer1) 107 -Made the decision to become a soccer fan at the age of 42 and immediately flew to London to watch a game. Not interested in Cleveland sports teams or even acknowledging they exist. 108 -Somehow grew up poor despite his parents being a doctor and a lawyer. 109 -Loves gabbing about his non-processed diet. Goes to Dairy Queen at least once a week with some little girl. 110 -Once spent an entire segment bitching at Charlie for using a day and a half of vacation time. Meanwhile, Rover is going to Europe for 3rd or 4th vacation this year. 111 -Will CANCEL your RMG+ membership if you bitch about RMG+. Gained Legendary Alpha status as a result. (hspencer1) 112 -When he walks around the block by his house he is always traveling uphill. It is currently unknown how he achieves this seemingly impossible feat. (multiple mentions) 113 -Was surpised by the speed of a turtle he tried to catch. 114 -Won't push a shopping cart or carry out leftovers as these are the job of a woman. (hspencer1) 115 -Has his 93 pound wife drag the garbage cans to the curb. (hspencer1) 116 -Has B2 deal with handymen that do work around the house so he can pretend he's too busy to fix things himself. 117 -Suggests he's going to fire Duji for her poor news reading skills on a daily basis for close to 20 years. 118 -Had a marker thrown in his face by Duji. Promised to get back at her one day. This was around 2015. 119 -Continues to do a poor impersonation of JLR despite universal hatred for it. 120 -Kept quiet while Gene Simmons treated him like a little bitch. 121 -Said Rob was a horrible person for denying he was the father of a child. Rover continues to deny he has any kids despite spending all his time with one that looks just like him. 122 -According to a recent poll, Rover is the second least liked person on his own show. This might explain why Duji is still around. 123 -Says everything on Reddit is a lie. Everything on this list is a verifiable fact except a few that are more speculation. 124 -Says "Iced" instead of "fired" 125 -Says "The hiv" instead of "HIV" 126 -Instead of coming up with entertaining radio bits he prefers to spend his time working on the technical side of the show like the "WIRES!" and the broken video player that is RMGTV. Too full of himself to hire a professional. (johnclevohio) 127 -Instead of simply calling it "the news" he insists on calling it "the shizzy, the news" (moss661) 128 -Went to a sex club and got serviced by some hot chick but can’t quite recall any of the details (NwoNW) 129 -Says a little bit of JLR goes a long way. Fans say hire JLR full time and get him in the studio. 130 -Claims he is lifting 30lb dumbbells, could easily prove it but chooses not to. 131 -Takes a girl he claims he's not the father of to "Daddy daughter dances" 132 -Was enraged when he learned Snitz was making 1 to 10 dollars a week on Twitch. Says fans were only donating that money because of his RMG fame. 133 -At 5 years old he experienced a lifetime of adventures. 134 -Made his wife cry when she bought the wrong candy bars for Halloween. 135 -Befriended an insect, possibly a silverfish, that lived in a hole in his shower. (zdriver7) 136 -Flew First Class while his wife rode coach. (zdriver7) 137 -Is so dedicated to putting on a good show that he arrives a full minute before the show goes live. Only arrives late 1-3 times a month. 138 -Shits on Bob and Tom for fake laughing but acts oblivious to Duji's incredibly fake and annoying laughing. 139 -Promised a 10 year retrospective. 10 years ago. 140 -Allegedly gave Duji a six figure payout when they broke up. 141 -Frequently inquires about the age of Snitz's daughters. 142 -Rates his wife a 7. Also rates Duji a 7. 143 -Asked a guest if his sons were "well hung" 144 -Made his wife cry by taking 30 seconds to make reservations at a restaurant (LarryJarocque) 145 -Complained for years about pain in the tip of his penis. Was cured by a finger up his butt. (LarryJarocque) 146 -Frequently shows up to work with a white substance on his lips (LarryJarocque) 147 -Was spotted in the wild wearing these https://imgur.com/a/FVMlwhg (Roger4Pres) (notdongbobbler) 148 -Says Americans are fat and stuff their faces with Doritos and cheeseburgers all day. Is fat and stuffs his face with animal crackers. 149 -Buys a million dollar bus to tour the country and go to all the big events. Goes to something called Spiedie Fest instead. A festival dedicated to cubed chicken in a bun... 150 -Blocked his door with a heavy old typewriter so he could have his virginity taken without interruption. (NwoNW) 151 -Chose not to get his wife anything for their first anniversary. 152 -Has special wipes for his oily eyelids. 153 -Only buys the douchiest of vehicles. Ranger Rovers, Teslas and possibly a G-wagon soon. 154 -Isn't comfortable drinking tap water because it runs through pipes while recognizing the fact that bottled water also runs through pipes. (jtr489) Any suggestions not added means they're most likely covered already.
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